Burmese public blowing big jade foam experts suggest that the market to "sedatives"

Xinhuanet Kunming July 18 (Reporter Yuan Xuelian) The jade market that has been quiet for nearly two years has recently attracted attention because of the "crazy" of the wool market. The trading of the jade original stone that just ended in Myanmar has seen a "hot" phenomenon in which the stone is hard to find and the wool is soaring. However, some experts believe that behind the "hot" is hype, and the price of jade will continue to fall.

Wool is also crazy, the jade will skyrocket?

“The wool with a reserve price of several thousand euros is mostly sold in millions of euros, and the quality is average.” Chen Ting, a businessman from Yunnan Ruili jade who just returned from the Burmese jade public market, did not expect that the jade sales market is gradually calming, but the wool market is Inexplicably crazy. “I feel that the bidders are not spending real money, but playing money on digital games.” He described the bidding scene.

Li Lianju, deputy director of the Yunnan Provincial Department of Land and Resources, said that there were three strange phenomena in this year's jade public market. First, the price of jade wool materials has generally increased by more than ten times. Many skilled jade merchants failed to win the bid according to the original bidding concept. Second, there were fewer public hair materials and lack of good materials. Third, some bidders “blocked” the good quality rough stones. ", after bidding at a high price, but not picking up the goods, would rather lose the deposit.

According to official data released by the Myanmar government, the 50th Myanmar jade stone official plate has a total of 10,300 original stones, a 38% decrease from 2012, and the original stone starting price has changed from 2000 euros to 4,000 euros. Since the Myanmar jade public trading was about 2-4 times a year, the public market was reopened after more than a year. Therefore, more than 7,000 people participated in this year, an increase of nearly 50 from March 2012. %.

People have fewer stones, lower quality, and soaring prices... As the only formal channel for the source of domestic jade wool, the spectacles in the Burmese public market have made some jade merchants who are suffering in the “winter” of jade see the “spring”. "The upstream market is so hot, the price of wool is so high, and jadeite should be skyrocketing." Chen Yanqing, a businessman from Yunnan Dehong Emerald, said.

Behind the "hot" is speculation for three to five years will bottom out

In the view of the expert team leader of the jade jade professional committee of Yunnan Province and the master of the jade, the crazy public market is just a “drug move” used by the merchants, that is, the high price “blocking” prevents the good materials from entering the Chinese market, thus causing the jadeite. The illusion of market prosperity, taking the opportunity to raise the value of the hands.

"In the past two years of public trading, the official statistics about 10 billion US dollars have not been picked up, which indicates that some people are speculating." Motai said that in 2012 China imported 13,000 tons of wool through formal channels, basically the same as in 2011, and near In the past two years, the sales of jadeite in China have been relatively low, so at present, there is no shortage of jade raw materials in China.

In addition to the speculations of Chinese businessmen, Li Lianju analyzed that Myanmar has always been exporting wool. In recent years, they have found that jade processing is not difficult after they visited China, so they also want to increase the added value of processing jade in their own country. Li Lianju said that the Burmese government of this year's public sector intends to control the amount of raw stone, or the high price of "blocking" may be related to this.

In addition, jade wool exports are an important source of Myanmar's fiscal revenue and the highest profit margin among its income. Since finances need to be supported by jade mining, it is impossible for Myanmar to stop mining. If Myanmar develops the jade processing industry, it will increase mining efforts, and more semi-finished products and finished products will enter the Chinese market, which will promote the return of jade prices.

“The jade market will bottom out in three to five years, and it will enter the recovery period in eight to ten years.” Motai pointed out that as a dispensable luxury, the jade market is closely related to the economic trend, the past 30 years of the emerald year. The growth rate curve is highly consistent with China's annual economic growth rate curve. At present, China's economic growth rate is slowing down, and the price of jadeite will naturally continue to fall.

The price is over 50%, experts recommend that fans do not shoot

Li Lianju believes that the price and value of jadeite have been seriously deviated over the years and are already in a dangerously high state. After the return of the wool material to the country, the price of finished products will definitely be high, but it will face the shackles of pricelessness. This makes the bubble that is already irrational, the bubble is blowing bigger and bigger. What worries him even more is that some areas have launched jade pledges, trusts and other financing services. If the jade market bubble bursts, it will bring a series of problems.

Motai said that the bubble-filled jade market brings double damage. On the one hand, jade lovers are afraid to pay attention to high prices. On the other hand, merchants are faced with the plight of pricelessness and capital quilt. He predicted that a number of businesses will be closed at the end of this year, and practitioners will be forced to turn from merchants to collectors.

"We want to pour cold water on the jade market and let the market eat a 'sedative'." Li Lianju pointed out that the current price of jadeite should return to rationality. Mo Tai reminds the jade lovers to protect the flow of funds, and do not currently take shots.

For jade merchants, Motai suggested taking prompt remedial measures, paying attention to various gemstone knowledge, and reducing losses through diversified operations. For example, red sapphires still have room to rise.

At the same time, the field of jade design must be innovative. "The jade jewelry is too monotonous. In addition to Guanyin and Maitreya Buddha, it is Ruyi and Baohulu. How do you let young people like it?" Motai said that most of the current jade carving staff are of low cultural level, and it is urgent to introduce more art talents to enhance the jadeite. The artistic value of jewelry.